Trading and investing

Prediction Market Strategy

Venue- and market-type-agnostic strategy, sizing, and backtesting layer for binary prediction markets (Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx). Covers the durable edge thesis, fee-aware selection, fractional-Kelly sizing, and leak-free validation methodology. Trading analysis or dry-run only; live data and broker access require separately available host tools.

Works with the context you provideVersion 1.0.0

Prediction Market Strategy

First read and apply `references/chiefos-runtime.md`. Choose the source method below that matches the requested outcome and available evidence; do not execute every alternate provider path.

agiprolabs: prediction-market-strategy

Load `references/agiprolabs/prediction-market-strategy/SKILL.md` for the complete method, required inputs, ordered decisions, and output contract. Resolve its local resources beneath the same directory.

For upstream sibling names, resolve the canonical skill and source entrypoint with `references/source-routing.json`. Load sibling resources from that canonical skill; do not assume the original directory name is independently installed.